Description
Title: The Lasso and Ridge Regression Models for Machine Learning for Credit Risk in the Reactive Peru Program
Abstract: Due to COVID-19, there are now restrictions on the continuity of the payment chain, which has forced businesses to turn to credit access. This study sought to identify the most effective machine learning predictive model for the COVID-19-related credit risk of businesses participating in the Reactiva Peru Program. With a population of 501,298 companies receiving benefits from the program, a multivariate regression analysis was conducted using four regressor variables (economic sector, granting entity, amount covered, and department) and one predictor (risk level). This analysis was conducted using the CRISP-DM methodology, which is specifically designed for data mining projects. Artificial intelligence techniques were used under the machine learning Lasso and Ridge regression models. In comparison to the Ridge regression model (100 = 0.00910; RMSE = 0.3573812) and the least squares model using algebraic mathematics, the results showed that the Lasso regression model (60 = 0.00038; RMSE = 0.3573685) predicted the level of risk with the best accuracy. This confirms that the Lasso regression model is the best predictive model to detect the level of credit risk of the Reactiva Peru Program. The Lasso regression model is the most effective predictive model for determining the degree of corporate credit risk.
Keywords: Lasso model; Ridge model; credits; machine learning; credit risk
Paper Quality: SCOPUS / Web of Science Level Research Paper
Subject: Economics
Writer Experience: 20+ Years
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