Description
Title: Internal and External Influences on Private Investment in Ecuador, 2007-2020
Abstract: This article examines how electoral processes and internal factors of the Ecuadorian economy influence the dynamics of business expectations in the country. According to the prevailing macroeconomic context, the hypothesis that the free market and socialist political models in an economy generate different responses in the agents’ expectations is tested. The empirical analysis is based on time series tools applied to quarterly data ranging from 2006 to 2021. The results indicate that 84% of this behavior is explained by the dynamics of investment adjustment to the relationships of internal factors, electoral processes, and other variables. This is accelerated in political contexts that promote the free market and maintain social, political, and economic stability, confirming the loss-aversion hypothesis that agents overreact to negative economic news.
Keywords: private investment; electoral processes; loss-aversion hypothesis; time series
Paper Quality: SCOPUS / Web of Science Level Research Paper
Subject: Economics
Writer Experience: 20+ Years
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